Overall picks to win: 8-8 in Week 17 (173-82-1 for the season) Picks to win with 1-5 confidence: 4-7 (103-64-1) Picks to win with 6-10 confidence: 4-1 (70-18) Overall to cover the spread: 9-6-1 (130-117-9) Cover-the-spread picks with 1-5 confidence: 8-4-1 (107-93-8) Cover-the-spread picks with 6-10 confidence: 1-2 (23-23-1)

The Bills had the best rushing attack in the NFL this year with an average of 159.6 yards per game. Only one other team in the NFL even topped145 yards per game during the regular season. The Bills went 9-0 in games where they rushed for at least 150 yards thanks in large part to their not-so-secret weapon, James Cook.

Cleveland entered Week 18 at 4-12 after last week’s 13-6 upset win over the Pittsburgh Steelers, a result that dropped the Browns from No. 3 to No. 6 in the current draft order and eliminated any remaining chance at the No. 1 overall pick.

Each pick has a confidence level of 1-10, with 10 being the most confident. For more information on the pick methodology, check out the Week 1 edition of this series. Keep in mind that since the idea here is to make high-percentage plays,